Research

Quantitative write-ups, scenario analysis, and industry mapping

Feb 15, 2026

NVDA: AI Infrastructure Dominance and the Compute Bottleneck

NVIDIA's data center segment continues to benefit from insatiable AI compute demand. We model three scenarios around supply chain constraints, competitive dynamics from AMD/custom silicon, and the HBM supply bottleneck.

NVDAAISemiconductorsOptions

HOLD

Feb 1, 2026

TSM: CoWoS Capacity as the AI Enabler

TSMC's advanced packaging (CoWoS) is the critical bottleneck for AI chip production. We analyze capacity expansion plans and revenue implications.

TSMSemiconductorsManufacturingAI

Jan 20, 2026

AI Semiconductor Supply Chain: Mapping Critical Dependencies

A comprehensive mapping of the AI semiconductor supply chain, identifying single points of failure and geopolitical risk concentrations.

SemiconductorsSupply ChainGeopoliticsASMLTSM

Jan 5, 2026

Volatility Regime Framework for Semiconductor Options

A quantitative framework for identifying volatility regimes in semiconductor names and optimizing options strategy selection.

OptionsVolatilityQuantSemiconductors